Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 241.277506 271.995679 306.066709 346.827037 394.482834 448.701876 515.431523
2025-03-30 191.058510 230.174334 277.312565 338.941690 418.337902 518.493587 656.519779
2025-04-06 165.754991 208.321341 262.441285 337.495894 440.818928 581.006854 790.874118
2025-04-13 142.680056 184.996927 240.986582 322.183856 439.851693 608.986776 879.847699
2025-04-20 133.774461 178.709087 240.496051 334.123363 476.953947 694.718365 1068.966941
2025-04-27 127.217556 174.558111 241.955668 348.281005 518.442733 792.844907 1298.087085
2025-05-04 118.216268 165.783684 235.463858 349.134915 538.566881 859.148004 1486.370829
2025-05-11 108.236497 154.521537 223.933776 340.369160 541.144080 895.258448 1625.861401
2025-05-18 100.061534 145.207207 214.391160 333.493576 545.571192 934.671588 1779.995574
2025-05-25 96.480260 142.609337 215.049438 343.505583 580.886004 1037.028605 2091.160835
2025-06-01 91.104931 136.696632 209.739697 342.474876 595.495493 1101.163047 2334.020646
2025-06-08 85.341191 129.700157 202.000235 336.200886 599.057342 1142.984304 2534.773974
2025-06-15 81.242320 125.255484 198.391795 337.447600 618.417187 1223.776572 2863.807446
2025-06-22 76.162811 118.825784 190.865063 330.618428 620.517791 1267.080687 3108.250294
2025-06-29 72.412286 114.369527 186.407181 329.129330 633.517610 1337.941676 3455.729151
2025-07-06 67.023263 106.737457 175.696454 314.289966 615.554685 1330.842251 3565.145419
2025-07-13 65.837458 106.350889 178.078223 325.867723 658.026039 1483.345385 4246.022158
2025-07-20 64.974822 106.458603 181.349738 339.593892 707.615048 1666.333868 5121.409220
2025-07-27 62.527371 103.536440 178.656265 340.421628 726.539458 1769.785927 5755.165920
2025-08-03 59.149516 98.708140 171.954580 331.923725 721.260608 1802.677944 6123.807682
2025-08-10 56.230262 94.567209 166.318817 325.257142 719.777675 1846.953705 6565.981791
2025-08-17 55.317665 94.120830 167.929049 334.964488 762.239422 2037.421384 7784.039246
2025-08-24 53.321793 91.501228 164.991398 333.965239 776.010980 2139.528823 8644.581789